Computer Models to Help With Hard-to-Treat Lung Disorders

Asthma affects 300 million people worldwide and causes 239 000 deaths, while 80 million have moderate-to-severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). And the numbers are rising.

The difficulty with current treatment is that two people may have similar breathing trouble but, because the fundamental cause of their problem is different, giving them the same medication can lead to a good result for one of the patients but no improvement in the other.

‘The way we define disease is still based on their symptoms, but we are learning that underlying the things patients complain about is quite a broad spectrum of biological processes,’ said Professor Chris Brightling of the University of Leicester, UK, who leads the EU-funded AirPROM research consortium. 

He hopes the ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach to managing asthma and COPD may become a thing of the past.

‘Recognising this diversity is important if we are to give the right treatment to the right patient and this approach may also guide drug discovery,’ said Prof. Brightling.

Sophisticated models

AirPROM brings together a diverse group of experts to develop sophisticated models that can predict how an individual’s lung disease will progress and how they will respond to various treatment options.

Scientists at AirPROM are using data from people with asthma or COPD who previously took part in other EU-funded studies such as BTS Severe Asthma, U-BIOPRED and EvA FP7.

This provides a wealth of information from lung function tests, blood samples, cells from the lung, and images from CT and MRI scans.

‘We have models for different parts of the disease. Some treatments may be targeting very specific pathways at a cellular or even subcellular level. Others may be affecting the airway more directly,’ said Prof. Brightling.

The more patient data that is added to the system, the more the computer models ‘learn’, becoming more accurate in treating the individual patient.

This personalised approach could pave the way for patients to have a series of tests – lung function, blood samples, MRI scans – when they see their doctor. That means their treatment is tailored to their specific disease, making it much more likely to deliver results.

The cost of this modelling is not yet clear but could be in the order of EUR 5 000 per patient, particularly where CT or MRI scans are used. This suggests it may not be used for every patient with mild asthmatic symptoms, but could help to guide doctors’ decisions when prescribing expensive biological treatments or surgical interventions to those with more serious conditions.

‘Some of the newer biologics might cost EUR 20 000 to EUR 30 000 per patient per year while thermoplasty (using radio waves to apply heat to the lungs) could be EUR 10 000. So it may still be cheaper to do the modelling if we can predict which patients will do well, which will do badly, and even which ones are at risk of potential harm,’ said Prof. Brightling. -- Source and © European Union